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Softwood Lumber, OSB Push Building Materials Prices Higher

Originally posted at eyeonhousing.org by David Logan, economist for the National Association of Home Builders:

For the second consecutive month, prices of softwood lumber, gypsum, ready-mix concrete, and OSB all increased, according to the latest Producer Price Index (PPI) release by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The increases were led by softwood lumber and OSB.

The price of softwood lumber increased 2.3 percent in March after rising 4.8 percent in February. Softwood lumber prices have increased 7.2 percent over the first three months of 2017 and are up 12.9 percent since March 2016. These increases have been largely, if not completely, due to the ongoing softwood lumber trade dispute between the U.S. and Canada. The prices of many softwood products have increased by more than 25 percent since the beginning of this year, and the Random Lengths Framing Lumber Composite Index (pictured) has risen 16 percent during the same period.

OSB prices posted a 2.7 percent increase in March and have increased nearly 25 percent since March 2016. The price index for OSB stands at its highest level since June 2013. Other building materials price increases in March were much more modest.

Gypsum and ready-mix concrete prices rose by 0.2 percent and 0.3 percent, respectively, on a seasonally adjusted basis in March. The moderate growth of gypsum prices is a welcome sign, as it hopefully signals a continuation of prices remaining in a “new normal” range rather than rising sharply at the start of each year. Ready-mix concrete prices continued a years-long upward trend marked by near-continuous monthly increases and have increased 0.7 percent since the beginning of 2017.

The economy-wide PPI declined 0.1 percent in March, falling short of market expectations. Three-fourths of the decrease is attributable to prices paid for services. Prices for final demand goods also edged lower by 0.1 percent. Final demand prices for core goods (i.e. goods excluding food and energy) continued the upward trend that began in November 2016, rising 0.4 percent. Prices for core goods less trade services climbed 0.1 percent.

Most of the decline in prices paid for final demand goods was due to a 2.9 percent drop in energy prices. Conversely, the index for final demand foods rose 0.9 percent. Over half of the decline in prices for final demand services can be traced to prices for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing. Loan services led the March decline in services prices, falling 4.1 percent.

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